How do you know if your housing market has reached the bottom?

November 20, 2008

All markets are different. During the next few years, some housing markets will turn around faster than others. How do you know when your particular market has reached its bottom? If you wait until others pick over the great deals, you'll miss the bottom.

  • Keep a track of how many properties are listed from month to month. Once you start to see a reduction in inventory then that may mean that buyers are starting to buy. There could be two reasons whey inventory is reducing – overpriced homes may be taken off the market and sales volume could be picking up. You can find out this information from your local real estate agent.
  • Keep reading national and local newspapers. If your local media reporters are now starting to interview experts in your market and asking questions like, “Have we reached the bottom?” then that might be a sign that there may be a shift.
  • Talk to your friends and co-workers. How are they feeling about your local economy and housing prices? Are they more optimistic now than they were 3 months ago, or even last month?
  • Consumer confidence will be a big part in the housing market turning around.
  • Be on the lookout for mortgage interest rates stabilizing and mortgage companies start to ease lending restrictions.
  • One of the biggest indicators is when prices have stopped dropping. The secret is to buy before they start to inch back up again!


  • I’m not suggesting that you wait till the absolute bottom of your market to buy. You have to look at a home as a place to live, not an investment. Only you can determine what an affordable monthly payment is relative to the value of the home you are purchasing. There are individual homes for sale that can be bought at the bottom of your market, even if homes in general have not reached that mark.

    Talk to a trusted real estate agent – we can help!



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    Local Information for Honolulu, HI

    Latitude: 21.30895 -- Longitude: -157.826182


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    Honolulu is the capital and largest city of the U.S. State of Hawai?i. In the Hawaiian language, honolulu means "sheltered bay" or "place of shelter." The census-designated place (CDP) is located along the southeast coast of the island of O?ahu. The term also refers to the District of Honolulu (see Geography below). As of July 1, 2004, the United States Census Bureau estimate for Honolulu puts the population at 377,260 and that of the city and county (essentially, the Island of O?ahu) at 900,000. In Hawai?i, local governments operate only at the county level, and the City & County of Honolulu encompasses all of the Island of O?ahu (approximately 600 square miles). -- Source: Wikipedia.com




    Hawaii 2000 Census Population Profile Map

    Honolulu Hawaii United States
    Population 371,657 1,211,537 281,421,906
    Median age 39.7 36.2 35.3
    Median age for Male 38.4 35.1 34
    Median age for Female 41.1 37.4 36.5
    Households 140,337 403,240 105,480,101
    Household population 360,371 1,175,755 273,643,273
    Average household size 2.57 2.92 2.59
    Families 87,374 287,068 71,787,347
    Average family size 3.23 3.42 3.14
    Housing units 158,663 460,542 115,904,641
    Occupied units 140,337 403,240 105,480,101
    Vacant units 18,326 57,302 10,424,540

    Visit US Census


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